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    Jack Henry & Associates Inc (JKHY)

    JKHY Q4 2025: 90% FCF Conversion Fuels $100M Buybacks

    Reported on Aug 20, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$163.80Last close (Aug 20, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$163.34Open (Aug 21, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-0.46(-0.28%)
    • Resilient revenue growth and renewals: Management addressed competitive renewal dynamics and M&A impacts positively. Their emphasis on winning larger core deals (e.g., renewals grew significantly in asset size) and maintaining premium pricing amid short‐term pressures supports a strong bull case.
    • Accelerated innovation in digital solutions: The Move partnership and rollouts of new offerings such as TAP2Local and Jack Henry Rapid Transfers have progressed ahead of schedule—completing in ten months instead of the anticipated 18–24 months—with strong beta feedback. This reinforces their competitive positioning in digital banking.
    • Robust free cash flow conversion and capital flexibility: The discussion highlighted a marked improvement to around 90% free cash flow conversion (with future guidance of 85–100%) and a debt‐free balance sheet, enabling potential to increase share repurchases and further enhance shareholder value.
    • Pricing pressure concerns: Executives acknowledged persistent competitive pricing pressure on both renewals and new deals, which could compress margins over the short term.
    • Short-term revenue headwinds from M&A activity: There is uncertainty around the impact and timing of bank mergers and deconversion revenue, which could lead to softer top‐line growth in the near term.
    • Challenges from hardware and legacy revenue decline: Continued migration to cloud–driven solutions is reducing hardware sales, potentially affecting revenue stability during the transition period.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    GAAP Revenue Growth

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    4.2% to 5.4%

    no prior guidance

    Non-GAAP Revenue Growth

    FY 2026

    6% to 6.5%

    5.8% to 7%

    raised

    Deconversion Revenue

    FY 2026

    $22 million to $28 million

    $16 million

    lowered

    Non-GAAP Margin Expansion

    FY 2026

    60 to 70 basis points

    20 to 40 basis points

    lowered

    GAAP EPS

    FY 2026

    $6 to $6.09

    $6.32 to $6.44 per share

    raised

    GAAP Tax Rate

    FY 2026

    23%

    23.75%

    raised

    Free Cash Flow Conversion

    FY 2026

    65% to 75%

    Approximately 85% to 100% in future years

    raised

    Q1 Non-GAAP Revenue Growth

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    Approximately 7% to 7.5%

    no prior guidance

    Quarterly Revenue Cadence

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    Strongest in Q1, lower in Q2, increasing in Q3 and Q4

    no prior guidance

    Free Cash Flow Impact from Tax Legislation

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    Two scenarios: 1. Significant impact in FY 2026 with limited nonrecurring impact in FY 2027; 2. Spreading the benefit across FY 2026 and FY 2027

    no prior guidance

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Recurring Revenue Stability and Core Contract Wins

    Previous calls consistently reported that recurring revenue was very high (ranging from 92–93% of total revenue) and core wins, although variable in number (6 wins in Q1, 11 in Q2, and 11–28 in Q3), came with growing asset sizes and increasing cloud migration .

    In Q4 2025, recurring revenue remained stable at 91% with 51 new core wins (including larger deals and increased cloud migration with 77% of core clients on the private cloud).

    Continued strong and stable performance with increased deal sizes and a higher focus on cloud migration—consistent relevance with an upward shift in quality of wins.

    Digital Innovation and Accelerated Product Rollouts

    Across Q1 (with new Banno deals and Financial Crimes Defender contracts ), Q2 (with significant digital platform growth and innovative payment solutions ), and Q3 (highlighting progress on the public cloud-native platform and various beta innovations ), the focus was on steady digital innovation and rollout of new solutions.

    In Q4 2025, the company stressed accelerated product rollouts, highlighted an SMB strategy roadmap, and reiterated its success in winning larger core deals—all underscoring a continued emphasis on digital innovation.

    Digital innovation remains a core priority; Q4 demonstrates an accelerated pace with a new emphasis on SMB strategy and faster execution while building on consistent progress from previous periods.

    M&A Activity, Consolidation, and Revenue Recognition Delays

    Earlier periods noted moderate impacts from M&A activity and consolidation—Q1 discussed anticipatory measures and some implementation delays , Q2 highlighted modest convert merge revenue and timing shifts , and Q3 acknowledged increased M&A with potential deconversion revenue effects and project delays.

    In Q4 2025, management mentioned short-term revenue headwinds driven by increased M&A activity and deconversion revenue as well as some implementation delays, with future impacts expected to extend into fiscal 2026.

    The topic remains consistently important; however, Q4 emphasizes near‐term headwinds and cautious outlook from increased consolidation, reflecting a shift toward more immediate revenue timing concerns.

    Pricing Pressure and Competitive Margin Challenges

    Q1 discussions noted relatively low pricing sensitivity with strong win rates , Q2 highlighted bundling strategies and a neutral competitive dynamic , and Q3 underscored stable market conditions and some competitive pressures without a major strategic shift.

    In Q4 2025, the focus sharpened on renewal pricing pressure and competitive pricing adjustments; management detailed strategic changes in renewal processes and compensation to counter short-term compression while maintaining premium pricing.

    While competitive pressures have been a recurring theme, Q4 shows a proactive shift with targeted strategies to mitigate pricing pressure, reinforcing a stable yet competitive market environment.

    Legacy Hardware Decline and Transition to Cloud Solutions

    In Q1, legacy hardware was noted as a significant drag with a $7 million impact, while discussions in Q2 and Q3 focused on declining hardware sales (e.g., down $2–$11 million) and an ongoing shift to cloud solutions (with increasing percentages of clients on private cloud, e.g., 73–76%).

    Q4 2025 reinforced that legacy hardware revenue continues to decline due to ongoing client migration to the cloud—with 77% of clients now hosted in the private cloud—and expects this trend to persist into FY 2026.

    The decline in legacy hardware and transition to cloud are consistently recognized; Q4 confirms the accelerated migration with higher cloud adoption rates and reduced hardware demand.

    Financial Flexibility through Robust Free Cash Flow Conversion

    Q1 calls reported a 72% trailing 12‑month conversion despite a 50% Q1 rate , Q2 showed a 73% conversion with strong trailing free cash flow , and Q3 indicated a conversion range between 65% to 75% with ongoing improvements.

    In Q4 2025, free cash flow conversion reached 90%, with management highlighting robust financial flexibility, zero debt and plans for significant share repurchases.

    A consistently improving trend in free cash flow conversion, now achieving a robust level that underpins financial flexibility and strategic capital allocation.

    Customer Optimism and Large Deal Wins Expanding Market Share

    Q1 discussions focused on record sales attainment and a strong pipeline (e.g., six competitive wins including a $7 billion deal ), Q2 highlighted significant competitive wins and major renewals supporting market share expansion , and Q3 emphasized maintained high win rates even amidst competitive pressures.

    In Q4 2025, customer optimism surged with 23 core wins in Q4 (and 51 for the fiscal year), larger core deals with increased asset sizes, and a continued push on cloud migration, underscoring market share expansion.

    Customer optimism and large deal wins remain a central driver; Q4 shows strengthening performance with higher win counts, larger deals, and continued backing from an extremely robust pipeline.

    Payments Segment Growth Driven by Emerging Offerings

    Q1 reported 6% revenue growth with emerging platforms like Zelle, RTP, and FedNow , Q2 detailed a 6% growth with mention of the PayCenter and improved margins , and Q3 documented accelerated adoption rates for faster payments and fraud prevention solutions.

    Q4 2025 saw continued growth with a 6% increase in non‑GAAP revenue driven by emerging offerings such as the Zelle platform, real‑time payments and significant new contracts for fraud prevention, maintaining momentum.

    Payments growth is consistent across periods with steady revenue increases and emerging offerings playing a key role; the story remains of healthy platform adoption and gradual scaling of solutions.

    Interest Rate Sensitivity Impacting Future Earnings

    Mentioned in Q1 where interest income was noted to be sensitive to rate changes, with future earnings dependent on Fed actions. Q2 and Q3 did not address this topic.

    Q4 2025 did not mention interest rate sensitivity at all.

    Interest rate sensitivity, discussed only in Q1, is no longer a focal point in the current period, suggesting a reduced emphasis or lower immediate impact compared to earlier discussions.

    1. Revenue Outlook
      Q: Is 2026 guidance conservative?
      A: Management explained that while short-term headwinds from renewals, M&A timing, and contract triggers result in a slightly wider guidance, the underlying growth remains solid with larger core wins expected later.

    2. Free Cash Flow
      Q: How will improved FCF shape allocation?
      A: They highlighted a strong free cash flow recovery—from 55% to 90% conversion—with a zero-debt balance that now enables increasing share repurchases by at least $100M while keeping options open for strategic M&A.

    3. M&A Impact
      Q: How significant are M&A revenue headwinds?
      A: Management noted that while contract timing and large bank mergers initially create a $16M revenue headwind, these effects are short-term and should have minimal long-term impact on the revenue trajectory.

    4. Margin Expansion
      Q: What drives margin improvements?
      A: The leadership attributed margin expansion to disciplined cost management, improved efficiency through process reforms and AI, and a successful migration to cloud-based operations.

    5. Pricing Pressure
      Q: Is competitive pricing affecting deals?
      A: They acknowledged some pricing pressure on renewals and new deals, but stressed that leveraging superior technology allows them to retain their premium pricing despite a competitive market.

    6. Demand Balance
      Q: Is demand overcoming implementation delays?
      A: Management clarified that although some implementation delays occurred, recent improvements in consulting activities and a strong core win trajectory continue to drive robust demand.

    7. Reseller Impact
      Q: How does the $16M contract affect revenue?
      A: They explained that a renewed reseller contract is shifting revenue timing, with $12M impacting Q1 while the overall economic impact remains unchanged.

    8. Non-GAAP Cadence
      Q: What’s the non-GAAP revenue cadence?
      A: Management confirmed their non-GAAP revenue is strongest in Q1 (around 7–7.5% growth), dips slightly in Q2, and then recovers in Q3 and Q4.

    9. Account Growth
      Q: Why is account growth slowing?
      A: They attributed the slowdown to industry-wide trends such as neobank competition and proactive account purges by institutions, reflecting a broader shift in deposit strategies.

    10. SMB Strategy
      Q: How is the SMB strategy progressing?
      A: Management is ahead of schedule on its SMB strategy with accelerated partner certifications and a robust roadmap, enhancing digital offerings and setting up a strong rollout post-conference.

    11. Complementary Sales
      Q: Are complementary products selling beyond the base?
      A: They detailed plans for digital add-ons like TAP to Local and Rapid Transfers to expand sales outside the core base, which should broaden revenue streams in the coming months.

    12. Hardware Revenue
      Q: What is the hardware revenue outlook?
      A: Management expects hardware revenue headwinds to ease in FY 2026, as ongoing cloud migration reduces the demand for on-premise hardware, mitigating prior challenges.

    Research analysts covering Jack Henry & Associates Inc.